Like all of us, scientists think in scenarios: If this happened, what then?
Results of their efforts to understand and anticipate global environmental changes through the process of scenario thinking and ecological forecasting are the topic of the annual National Science Foundation (NSF) Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) Mini-Symposium.
The forum will be held on Friday, Feb. 21, 2014, at NSF headquarters in Arlington, Va.
Presentations, including one by Ecosystems Center senior scientist Gaius Shaver who is the lead PI of the Arctic LTER, will address social and ecological change; ecosystem vulnerability, resilience and adaptability; and why long-term data are essential to understanding and predicting future responses to natural and human-caused environmental changes.
Results from scenario-thinking and simulations will be presented for ecosystems from forests to lakes to the open ocean.